Gold, silver down as USDX rallies, crude oil tanks
Gold and silver prices are solidly lower in midday U.S. trading Monday. The metals are feeling the heat of strong gains in the U.S. dollar index to start the trading week and a big drop in crude oil prices. December gold was last down $20.00 at $1,734.30 and December silver was down $0.302 at $20.70.
The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index in a strong rebound, including sharply higher prices today, after the index hit a three-month low last week. Nymex crude oil prices are sharply down today and hit a 10.5-month low. News wire reports today said Saudi Arabia is considering a modest increase in its crude oil production. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently 3.819%.
Global stock markets were mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are weaker at midday. Risk aversion is keener to start a U.S. holiday-shortened trading week. U.S. markets are closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday. China has recorded its first Covid deaths in six months as the world’s second-largest economy continues to struggle with rising Covid cases and lockdowns. Reports said infections in Beijing have more than doubled the past few days. This news has stock and commodity markets under pressure due to global demand worries.
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Wednesday will be the busiest day for U.S. economic data, including the minutes from the last FOMC monetary policy meeting, to be released in the early afternoon.
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Technically, the gold futures bulls have lost the slight overall near-term technical advantage. A fledgling price uptrend on the daily bar chart has stalled out. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the November high of $1,791.80. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the November low of $1,618.30. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,755.00 and then at $1,770.00. First support is seen at $1,725.00 and then at $1,700.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.
The silver bulls still have the slight overall near-term technical advantage but are fading. Prices are in a choppy 2.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the November high of $22.38. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $19.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $21.04 and then at $21.50. Next support is seen at $20.50 and then at $20.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.
December N.Y. copper closed down 720 points at 356.00 cents today. Prices closed near the session low today and hit a two-week low. The key outside markets were bearish for copper today as the U.S. dollar index was sharply higher and crude oil prices were sharply lower. The copper bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. A six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart has stalled out. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at the November high of 396.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 330.00 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 364.80 cents and then at 370.00 cents. First support is seen at 350.00 cents and then at 342.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.
By Jim Wyckoff
For Kitco News
Tim Moseley