Gold, silver hit 13-mo. highs on tame U.S. PPI, slumping USDX
Gold and silver prices are sharply higher in midday U.S. trading Thursday and scored 13-month highs. The metals bulls are being fueled by a tame U.S. inflation report, a slumping U.S. dollar index and rising crude oil prices. Gold bulls are now confident they can breach the all-time record high of $2,078.80, basis nearby Comex futures, sooner rather than later. June gold was last up $28.40 at $2,053.20 and May silver is up $0.437 at $25.90.
Today’s U.S. producer price index report for March showed a decline of 0.5% from February versus expectations for a steady reading. The report helped to put more downside pressure on the U.S. dollar index, which hit a 2.5-month low today. The tamer PPI report follows a slightly milder consumer price index report released Wednesday that came in at up 5.0%, year-on-year, compared to market expectations for a rise of 5.1%. However, the core CPI number came in 0.1% higher than expected.
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Global stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are higher at midday. The other key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices are a bit weaker after hitting a five-month high Wednesday, presently trading around $82.50 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently fetching 3.422%.
Technically, June gold futures bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the all-time high of $2,078.80, scored in March of 2022. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the April low of $1,965.90. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $2,063.40 and then at $2,078.80. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,028.30 and then at Wednesday’s low of $2,015.70. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0
May silver futures bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a steep four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $27.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $23.50. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $26.115 and then at $26.50. Next support is seen at today’s low of $25.515 and then at Wednesday’s low of $25.175. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0.
May N.Y. copper closed up 410 points at 412.20 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a three-week high today. The copper bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at the January high of 435.90 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the April low of 392.60 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 414.30 cents and then at 417.45 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 405.35 cents and then at 400.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.
By
Jim Wyckoff
For Kitco News
Tim Moseley