Gold, silver see routine profit taking
Gold and silver prices are solidly lower in midday U.S. trading Monday. Normal corrective pullbacks and some profit taking by the shorter-term futures traders were featured to start the trading week, following recent good price gains for both metals. A firmer U.S. dollar index on this day also worked against the metals market bulls. February gold was last down $17.70 at $1,792.90 and March silver was down $0.287 at $23.435.
Traders await a major U.S. data point on Tuesday–the consumer price index report for November, out at 8:30 a.m. EST. The CPI is seen coming in up 7.3%, year-on-year.
Major central banks will this week complete the most aggressive year for interest-rate hikes in four decades with their fight against inflation still not over even as their economies slow. The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting begins Tuesday morning and ends Wednesday afternoon with a statement and press conference from Fed Chair Powell. The FOMC is mostly likely to raise U.S. interest rates by 0.5%. Then, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England meet on Thursday and are likely to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve with half-point rate hikes.
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The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index modestly up. Nymex crude oil prices are higher and trading around $72.75 a barrel. Prices last Friday hit an 11-month low. Meantime, the yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently 3.593%.
Technically, February gold futures bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the December high of $1,822.90. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,750.00. First resistance is seen at $1,800.00 and then at today’s high of $1,809.30. First support is seen at last week’s low of $1,778.10 and then at $1,770.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0
March silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a choppy 3.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $25.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $22.00. First resistance is seen at the December high of $23.90 and then at $24.00. Next support is seen at $23.00 and then at $22.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.
March N.Y. copper closed down 830 points at 379.55 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The copper bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 400.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 354.70 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 385.95 cents and then at 390.00 cents. First support is seen at last week’s low of 377.30 cents and then at 370.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.
By Jim Wyckoff
For Kitco News
Tim Moseley