Tim Moseley
The highly anticipated Jackson Hole Economic Symposium commences today
The highly anticipated Jackson Hole Economic Symposium commences today
Each year the Kansas City Federal Reserve hosts one of the most important economic symposiums in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. This major event is attended by the top central bankers in the United States and globally. This year’s event, the 2022 Economic Policy Symposium, "Reassessing Constraints on the Economy and Policy," will be held August 25-27.
While the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City is attended by dozens of central bankers, policymakers, academics, and economists from around the world, it will be Friday’s keynote speech by Chairman Jerome Powell that will garner the most attention.
This year’s symposium occurs at a critical time as the Federal Reserve began an aggressive tightening of its monetary policy. Beginning in March of this year the Federal Reserve raised its Fed funds rate for the first time since 2018. More so, they have raised rates at each of the last four FOMC meetings. They raised rates by 25 basis points in March, 50 basis points in May, and 75 basis points at both the June and July FOMC meetings.
The Federal Reserve also announced that it would begin to taper or reduce its asset balance sheet. However, based on information from the Statista Research Department as of July 26, 2022, the Federal Reserve had $8.89 trillion in assets. Considering that in 2007 their assets were roughly at $0.9 trillion the Federal Reserve has been extremely challenged in reducing its assets. The only noticeable reduction occurred in September 2019 when the Federal Reserve reduced its $4.5 trillion balance sheet to $3.77 trillion.
Economists and analysts are divided as to the content of Friday’s keynote speech by Chairman Powell. Some analysts suggest that market participants are bracing themselves for an extremely hawkish speech by Powell, while others are anticipating that Powell might have a more dovish demeanor suggesting that the Federal Reserve will begin to lessen its aggressive rate hikes based on recent economic reports indicating an economic contraction in multiple sectors such as new-home sales and a disappointing U.S. manufacturing sector index report.
My current assessment is that Powell will first offer assurances to the American public that they are doing everything within their power to reduce inflation. Then chairman Powell will likely use his go-to playbook and state that all decisions are data-dependent and thereby deflect any specific timelines when they will begin to reduce the amount and frequency of each rate hike.
The Federal Reserve will hold its next FOMC meeting on September 20 – 21, a week after the release of the CPI inflation index for August.
Although there is much debate and uncertainty as to the tone and demeanor of Powell’s keynote speech, Chairman Powell will continue to walk an extremely thin tightrope between the current economic contraction and the current level of inflation. The likelihood that the Federal Reserve can pull off a “soft landing” will be difficult at best and impossible at worst.
These facts have been highly supportive of gold prices over the last few weeks. Gold has risen from its low of $1678 on July 21 to its current value of $1771.80 today. Today’s gains were a combination of a softer dollar, fractional declines in U.S. Treasuries yields, and market participants actively buying the precious yellow metal.
By Gary Wagner
Contributing to kitco.com
Time to buy Gold and Silver on the dips
Tim Moseley
Is Gold A Sleeping Giant? The Basel Accord
Is Gold A Sleeping Giant? The Basel Accord
In the light of much focus on cryptocurrency this article examines whether gold will make a comeback and establish its true value and status in our economy.
History is Prelude
From time immemorial precious metals have been recognised for their stored value as tangible assets, including silver and gold. A key reason for paper notes becoming used commercially was because it was cumbersome to carry gold and precious metals around in any major quantity for purposes of trade.
Paper notes would be denominated with an inscription pointing to the value of that note in terms of gold and silver. In simple terms they were a bit like coupons. Two particular landmarks in history changed the nature of money. Firstly, things fundamentally changed with the confiscation of gold from the people in the 1930’s by executive order of President Roosevelt.
Then in 1971 gold and silver was removed as backing altogether, courtesy of President Nixon. From that moment the populace had the form of money but not the substance of money, which I referenced in another article. Here in the UK the gold standard was suspended during the Napoleonic War, and brought back for a while from 1821 to 1914.
Image Source: Gold
Inflation
Gold’s restorative impact on the economy and hedge against inflation was well known. In 1914, £0.95 could buy what £1 pound could buy in 1821, meaning that Britain’s economy strengthened with gold as the key factor. Also Elizabeth I used it to counter inflation during her reign between 1558 and1603.
So, gold has shown itself to be real money and has been the consistent answer to inflation. Based on its track record in history this is one indicator that gold will make a comeback. In the meantime the value of money has been in significant decline for approximately 100 years due to money existing in form alone. Right now as I write this article the UK has now surpassed 10% inflation though I suspect the number is higher. Why?
Mario Innecco is a financial markets and macro economics analyst who recently discovered and reported that the Bank of England had been manipulating data on inflation, to make inflation look better than it really is. The bottom line to curbing inflation is to restore money of substance, in other words to bring back the likes of gold and silver.
The second reason that gold could become resurgent picks up on the theme of manipulation of data. The only reason to manipulate data is when you want it to fit a certain narrative, and to control perception. The conflated numbers cited during the so-called pandemic, show this is a common strategy used by the establishment. If you take a look at the summary gold chart, you will notice that since 2012, when gold was near 1800 per ounce, it declined thereafter to an all time low in 2016.
Image source: Gold Chart
It was not until 2020 during the so-called pandemic that it broke the 2012 record. Again it correlates to rising inflation and yet, the graph resembles a picture of suppression, rather than reflecting its true value according to many commentators. Gold has a history of being stolen, suppressed, and manipulated as far as its data is concerned. This tells its own story of how precious and valuable it is, otherwise you would not see so much energy going into destroying its true worth to the public.
What Happened to All That Gold?
I have always wondered what happened to the abundant supply of gold that used to be? Is it going extinct like the dinosaurs? Gold has not disappeared but it has transferred from the many to the few through asset stripping and theft.
Recall in history when gold was confiscated with such extreme measures and touted as being in the interests of the economy, only to be sold at a higher price by the American government. It revealed the truth and betrayal of the people by the government. It was a form of asset stripping by theft, designed to enrich the few and enslave the many.
You may also recall Karen Hudes, former World Bank employee who blew the whistle and expanded on the fraud, and the theft of gold which was taking place at the higher echelons of the bank. These thefts mean that gold simply got transferred by force to a few global oligarchs.
As it stands today, the World Gold Council reports that the Central Banks hold one fifth of all the existing , with the USA leading the way, although China and Russia are the two biggest producers of gold. While you can buy gold today, the asset stripping strategy is showing up in more subtle forms, as the following case underlines.
Insider Trading
According to the dictionary, insider trading is defined as ‘the illegal practice of trading on the stock exchange to one's own advantage through having access to confidential information’. This has been shown to be going on in the stock market in general, and among those implicated are high ranking officials such as Nancy Pelosi, USA speaker of the house, and Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell. The following case highlights the connections at the highest level.
The Court Hearing of JP Morgan
Recently In Chicago the trial of certain officials of JP Morgan took place. The court discovery revealed what many suspected – insider trading of gold, which involved spoofing and market manipulation. What’s more the court discovery was able to ascertain that JP Morgan were effectively agents for the BIS, and also the Federal Reserve. At one point the label ‘criminal enterprise’ was used to describe the organized theft.
Certain individuals were charged with fraud. It’s interesting that the trial took place in Chicago. COMEX is a division of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, and is the primary futures and options market for trading metals such as gold, silver, copper, and aluminum.
One of the other fraudulent activities that takes place within these exchanges by insiders is fooling people into thinking they own real physical gold [allocated gold] when in fact they only hold the form of it. ETF stands for exchange traded fund, and is an example of such a paper asset.
The challenge with fraud charges is that so much money is made in fraudulent activities, that many banks think they can simply buy their way out of the consequences. However, that may be stopped in its tracks sooner rather than later.
The Basel Accord
The Basel Accord, sometimes referred to as Basel IV, comprises Basel III with its three pillars, Basel I, II and III. This is a series of international banking reforms designed to strengthen banking through different economic challenges. It can be summed up in this diagram.
Image Source: Basel III
This series of regulatory changes are designed to introduce highly disciplined practices to increase safety and to minimize risk in the banking sector. Basel started back in 1974 as a collaborative committee comprising 10 countries including the United Kingdom and USA. Its focus was on quality, safety and efficiency in banking. In 2009 the first version of Basel III came out in response to the financial crisis. Common themes of the accord is the requirement for banks to have greater capital reserves and show liquidity.
Within this comes the monitoring and reporting of key data demonstrating that the bank balance sheets add up. This potentially puts the banks in the headlights where paper versus physical allocated gold is concerned. Now they have to show proper reconciliation. The minimum requirements of Basel III took effect from Jan 2022, and must be fully in play by 2027. The big banks appear to be panicking because they have to report and submit the relevant documents. It seems that they are using this transition to buy up physical gold in huge quantities in order to plug the gaps they created.
Alongside this you have Russia who are now charging in gold for its energy, This has resulted in the G7 banning imports of gold from Russia. This has not stopped Russia. Russia is one of the BRIC countries [including Brazil, India and China], and it is being muted that they may come out with their own gold standard, which would threaten the dominance of the USD further.
Elsewhere, Zimbabwe is now offering gold coins as legal tender to curb inflation, and Lithuania is going down a similar path. Many financial commentators such as Robert Kiyosaki and Jim Rickards are predicting a surge in both gold and silver as a result of the pressure of inflation, Basel III, and the activity around the purchase and use of gold.
Gold With Greater Functionality
If you are wondering if gold is still for the long term as simply a store of value, the good news is that its functionality now goes beyond that. You can buy, trade, save and own gold more easily.
For example the Glint App allows you to buy gold through their app using EUR, USD and GBP. The gold you purchase is physical allocated gold, and is stored in a non government brinks vault in Switzerland. You own it. Furthermore you can digitize what you own through their debit mastercard, meaning you can then spend it on everyday things. I have found the purchase of gold through the app to be seamless, and am looking forward to buying something effectively with gold. Check if GLINT is in use in your country.
Another company that has done something similar is Kinesis. The problem they solve is explained in Gresham’s Law, which is where good money is saved and bad money spent historically. They are creating a banking ecosystem around this concept which allows you to buy gold and silver on their exchange, using fiat or select cryptocurrencies, and then you can store it in your own wallet, as well as to be able to send and receive to other participants in the ecosystem.
They are coming out with a VISA debit card too, both virtual and offline. With their own built in exchange, you can trade gold and silver, and you get yields on different activities such as minting, buying, holding and referring. Off course if you are new to this concept, and simply want to buy physical gold you may wish to look up Mike Maloney on YouTube for educational input and recommendation. If gold backed cryptocurrency appeals to you here is a guide as a starting point for exploration.
I have developed a mini ecosystem within my portfolio which allows me to accept payment for my businesses in gold, as well as to save and make purchases. I also have some gold backed cryptocurrency and related company shares based around gold. It certainly feels more empowering to be working with real money, which surpasses what my traditional bank can do.
Much attention has been focussed on cryptocurrencies as the emerging new ‘money’ especially since bitcoin came into being around 2009. In fact many commentaries refer to bitcoin as the new digital gold, since one of the assertions is that it cannot be confiscated. Confiscation is one consideration but anything that deters access to your money is another, as we saw in a previous article which looked at regulation. The volatility of cryptocurrency does not help with the immediate threat of inflation.
With rampant inflation, the intense suppression of gold through market manipulation, and the imminent full implementation of Basel III, these trends suggest that gold will make a comeback and find its true value. Gold may well be the sleeping giant, as it has an inherent and powerful ability to restore an economy that has gone out of control.
Whatever else you do, consider adding this to your resources to stave off the decline in purchasing power of your local currency. Now you know the game that is being played by the establishment, it is up to we the people, the majority, to protect our assets, in order to create and pass on generational wealth to bless ‘we the people’ ad infinitum.
Tim Moseley
Gold sees modest short covering bargain buying
Gold sees modest short covering, bargain buying
Gold prices are firmer in midday U.S. trading Wednesday, on a routine upside price correction from recent selling pressure. Short covering in the futures market and some perceived bargain buying in the cash market are featured. The U.S. dollar index is trading slightly down and near its daily low, which also gave the metals market bulls a bit of encouragement. However, rising U.S. Treasury bond yields at mid-week has limited buying interest in the metals. October gold futures were last up $4.90 at $1,756.30. September Comex silver futures were last down $0.021 at $19.005 an ounce.
U.S. stock indexes are higher at midday. The marketplace is awaiting the late-week Jackson Hole, Wyoming Federal Reserve annual symposium that begins Thursday and includes a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Friday morning. Past Jackson Hole Fed meetings have significantly moved markets. Markets are expecting Powell to lean hawkish on U.S. monetary policy and on the Fed’s fight against inflation.
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The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices lower and trading around $93.00 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index is slightly lower at midday, after hitting a 20-year high on Tuesday. Meantime, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 3.109%. Bond yields have been on the rise recently.
Technically, October gold futures bears still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,800.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the July low of $1,686.30. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,759.70 and then at 1,775.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $1,745.50 and then at this week’s low of $1,730.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.
September silver futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the August high of $20.87. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the July low of $18.01. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $19.155 and then at $19.50. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $18.605 and then at $18.35. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.
September N.Y. copper closed down 460 points at 364.95 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The copper bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 400.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 335.00 cents. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of 373.15 cents and then at 380.00 cents. First support is seen at this week’s low of 360.40 cents and then at last week’s low of 354.20 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.
By Jim Wyckoff
For Kitco News
Time to buy Gold and Silver on the dips
Tim Moseley
StuffMyInbox Review – How Does StuffMyInbox Work?
StuffMyInbox Review – How Does StuffMyInbox Work?
You've probably heard about StuffMyInbox, the website that gives away XBOX game systems. You may be interested in finding out how the system works. It generates autopilot leads and integrates John Thornhill's "Ambassador Program" into its sales funnel. But, how does it work for affiliate marketers? How do you earn commissions and leads from StuffMyInbox? Read on to learn more about this site and how to start generating leads with it.
StuffMyInbox is a website that gives away XBOX game systems
If you are looking for a website that generates leads and commissions on autopilot, you may want to check out StuffMyInbox. This website is 100% automated, meaning that you never have to work on it. You can generate thousands of free leads and generate unlimited commissions with this program. As an added bonus, you will receive free traffic, leads, and sales. What's even better, you can start earning commissions on your first offer!
It generates autopilot leads
If you have ever wondered how to generate unlimited traffic and autopilot leads, you've probably come across StuffMyInbox. This cloud-based software can help you create unlimited lists, increase your sales, and earn autopilot commissions. The best part is, it is FREE to use, so you can even get it for free if you sign up for their PRO membership. What's more, you can use it to get free XBOX game systems.
The StuffMyInbox system sends autopilot leads to OTO users by referring visitors to your offers. Every time someone visits your website, you receive an email from them with a link to an OTO. This will automatically send them visitors, leads, and purchases. That means you can expect insane conversions. And you can start getting free traffic right away. If you want to maximize your income on autopilot, you should start using StuffMyInbox.
It integrates John Thornhill's "Ambassador Program"
If you've ever wondered how to make money online with minimum effort, you've probably heard about the John Thornhill's Ambassador Program. It's a complete system that includes a high-converting webinar and back-end products. In fact, John has earned more than $1 million using the Clickbank affiliate marketplace. You can join his program and start making money today by promoting his products and services.
The StuffMyInbox integration works great for promoting John Thornhill's Ambassador Program. All you have to do is drive targeted traffic to the program's landing page, sign up for the webinar, and then you'll be rewarded with commissions from sales made through your affiliate link. This is a great opportunity for those interested in affiliate marketing, and because John Thornhill has an 85% success rate with affiliate marketing, you'll be able to sell his product to a larger audience.
It offers a money-back guarantee
While most digital products come with a 30-day money-back guarantee, StuffMyInbox offers a ninety-day money-back guarantee. That's not too shabby, considering the fact that the author wants to get more clients and traffic. That's pretty good news for anyone considering buying the product. Regardless of whether you choose to use it or not, you can rest assured that it will help you succeed.
The creator of StuffMyInbox is Bryan Winters, who has been in the online marketing industry for 15 years and has built a solid reputation by consistently producing innovative and quality products. His most recent product, the MonsterMode 700K System, has been making people millions of dollars and has earned his considerable trust. The StuffMyInbox formula automatically generates traffic for affiliates and offers up to $312 per click! In addition, the system also gives away brand new XBOX game systems every ninety days.
Tim Moseley
Gold silver rebound as USDX backs off crude oil rallies
Gold, silver rebound as USDX backs off, crude oil rallies
Gold and silver prices are higher in midday U.S. trading Tuesday, on short covering in the futures markets and bargain hunting in the cash markets, following recent selling pressure. The key "outside markets" are also in a bullish daily posture for the metals today, as the U.S. dollar index backed off a bit and crude oil prices were solidly higher. October gold futures were last up $13.80 at $1,752.40. September Comex silver were last up $0.147 at $19.03 an ounce.
U.S. stock indexes are weaker at midday. Traders and investors early this week are concerned about a still-aggressive Federal Reserve that is fighting problematic price inflation by raising U.S. interest rates at a rapid pace–even if it causes a U.S. economic recession. A Wall Street Journal news headline read: "Wall Street swings from greed to fear as the Fed's message sinks in." The marketplace is awaiting the late-week Jackson Hole, Wyoming Federal Reserve annual symposium, including a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Friday morning. Past Jackson Hole Fed meetings have significantly moved markets.
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The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices solidly higher and trading around $93.25 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index is weaker on a corrective pullback after hitting a nearly 20-year high in early U.S. trading. The surging greenback is denting bullish enthusiasm in many raw commodity markets, as they are priced in U.S. dollars on the world market. The appreciating greenback is making those commodities more expensive to purchase in non-U.S. currency. Meantime, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 3.0%.
Technically, October gold futures bears still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,800.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the July low of $1,686.30. First resistance is seen at today's high of $1,757.60 and then at 1,775.00. First support is seen at today's low of $1,733.80 and then at this week's low of $1,730.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.
September silver futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the August high of $20.87. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the July low of $18.01. First resistance is seen at last Friday's high of $19.48 and then at $20.00. Next support is seen at this week's low of $18.605 and then at $18.35. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.
September N.Y. copper closed up 380 points at 368.95 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a seven-week high today. The copper bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 400.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 335.00 cents. First resistance is seen at today's high of 373.15 cents and then at 380.00 cents. First support is seen at this week's low of 360.40 cents and then at last week's low of 354.20 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.
By Jim Wyckoff
For Kitco News
Time to buy Gold and Silver on the dips
Tim Moseley
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