{"id":2741,"date":"2024-07-27T04:45:07","date_gmt":"2024-07-27T04:45:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/?p=2741"},"modified":"2024-07-27T04:45:07","modified_gmt":"2024-07-27T04:45:07","slug":"gold-surges-as-cooling-inflation-raises-hopes-for-september-rate-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/?p=2741","title":{"rendered":"Gold Surges as Cooling Inflation Raises Hopes for September Rate Cut"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id='post-thumb'><img alt='' src='https:\/\/markethive.com\/uploads\/david-ogden\/images\/blog_380625.png' style='height:1px; width:1px' \/><\/div>\n<h1><span style=\"font-size:18pt\"><strong><strong><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\"><span style=\"font-size:medium\">Gold Surges as Cooling Inflation Raises Hopes for September Rate Cut<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">The latest economic data has sparked renewed optimism in the gold market, with prices climbing over $20 as investors digested signs of cooling inflation and robust economic growth. This positive sentiment comes as the Federal Reserve&#39;s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, shows continued <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">progress in the battle against rising prices.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, headline inflation declined to 2.5% annually last month, down from May&#39;s 2.6%. The core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, held steady at 2.6%, slightly above Wall Street&#39;s forecast of 2.5%. This data suggests that the Fed&#39;s restrictive monetary policy is yielding results, bringing inflation closer to its 2% target.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Adding to the positive economic outlook, the advance estimate of second-quarter GDP surpassed expectations, coming in at a robust 2.8% annualized growth rate. This figure, well above the predicted 2%, demonstrates the economy&#39;s resilience despite interest rates reaching a 23-year high.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">These encouraging reports have fueled speculation about the Fed&#39;s next moves. While the probability of a rate cut at next week&#39;s FOMC meeting remains low at 4.7%, market sentiment has shifted dramatically for the September meeting. The CME&#39;s FedWatch tool now predicts a 100% likelihood of a rate cut in September, with an 87.7% <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">probability of a quarter-point reduction.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">This optimism has translated into significant gains across financial markets. The Dow, S&amp;P 500, and NASDAQ composite indices all rose over 1%. Gold futures basis the most active August contract jumped 0.96% to settle at $2,386. The precious metal&#39;s price has now surpassed its 50-day simple moving average, with technical analysis <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">suggesting price support at $2,350. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\"><img alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/markethive.com\/uploads\/david-ogden\/images\/posted-images\/5966dcf8-c55f-4698-88b7-cc56119c5d7e.png\" style=\"height:448px; width:900px\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">As the Fed navigates the delicate balance between taming inflation and supporting economic growth, investors are closely watching for signs of a pivot toward interest rate normalization. The central bank&#39;s actions in the coming months could have far-reaching implications for gold prices and the broader financial landscape. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">With inflation cooling and economic indicators showing strength, the stage is set for potentially significant market movements.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Kitco Media<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#3b5998\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:small\"><span style=\"background-color:#ffffff\">Gary Wagner<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#000080\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma\"><span style=\"font-size:medium\"><u><a href=\"https:\/\/kms.kinesis.money\/signup\/philipo827\" style=\"color:#000080; text-decoration:underline\">Time to Buy Gold and Silver<\/a><\/u><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Tim Moseley<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold Surges as Cooling Inflation Raises Hopes for September Rate Cut The latest economic data has sparked renewed optimism in the gold market, with prices climbing over $20 as investors digested signs of cooling inflation and robust economic growth. This positive sentiment comes as the Federal Reserve&#39;s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/?p=2741\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Gold Surges as Cooling Inflation Raises Hopes for September Rate Cut<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[291],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2741"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2741"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2741\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prendergast.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}